BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Des Moines Lincoln

Class: 4A Class Rank: 9 Conference: (19-4) Overall: (19-4) Overall Strength =  106.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Home    W * 111.14  74   49   4A   32 ( 5-16) Fort Dodge              4.93     20.07                      
  2 11/30/2007 Home    W * 107.55  68   63   4A   13 (14- 8) Ankeny                  1.34      3.66                      
  3 12/04/2007 Away    W * 105.44  58   50   4A   24 ( 7-16) WDM Dowling            -0.77      8.77                      
  4 12/07/2007 Away    W * 106.25  53   40   4A   31 (10-12) Ottumwa                 0.04     12.96                      
  5 12/14/2007 Home    W * 114.65  63   49   4A   16 (14- 9) Des Moines Hoover       8.44      5.56                      
  6 12/21/2007 Away    W * 105.40  48   37   4A   26 ( 7-16) Des Moines East        -0.81     11.81                      
  7 01/04/2008 Home    W *  93.94  48   46   4A   25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt  -12.27     14.27                      
  8 01/08/2008 Home    W * 104.38  59   44   4A   31 (10-12) Ottumwa                -1.83     16.83                      
  9 01/11/2008 Away    W * 108.88  71   54   4A   30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North        2.67     14.33                      
 10 01/12/2008 Away    W * 106.66  58   53   4A   20 (11-11) WDM Valley              0.45      4.55  was 12/11 now 01/12 
 11 01/15/2008 Home    W * 104.69  59   44   4A   29 ( 4-17) Indianola              -1.52     16.52                      
 12 01/18/2008 Away    L *  92.51  43   55   4A   16 (14- 9) Des Moines Hoover     -13.70      1.70                      
 13 01/22/2008 Away    L * 105.18  54   56   4A   12 (18- 6) Southeast Polk         -1.03     -0.97                      
 14 01/25/2008 Home    W * 117.53  85   58   4A   26 ( 7-16) Des Moines East        11.32     15.68                      
 15 01/26/2008 Home    W * 118.59  61   60   4A    2 (20- 3) Ames                   12.37    -11.37  was 12/18 now 01/26 
 16 02/01/2008 Away    W * 110.80  59   44   4A   25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt    4.59     10.41                      
 17 02/04/2008 Away    W * 105.19  70   51   4A   37 ( 3-18) Mason City             -1.02     20.02  was 01/29 now 02/04 
 18 02/08/2008 Home    W *  90.01  62   60   4A   30 ( 5-18) Des Moines North      -16.20     18.20                      
 19 02/12/2008 Away    W * 106.90  33   31   4A   15 (13- 9) Urbandale               0.69      1.31                      
 20 02/15/2008 Away    W * 113.94  64   59   4A   10 (18- 6) Waukee                  7.73     -2.73                      
 21 02/16/2008 Home    L *  97.29  45   53   4A    7 (19- 5) Marshalltown           -8.92      0.92  was 02/05 now 02/11 now maybe 2/16
 22 02/22/2008 Home    W * 112.94  57   36   4A   25 ( 8-14) Des Moines Roosevelt    6.73     14.27                      
 23 02/26/2008 Neutral L * 103.01  53   57   4A   10 (18- 6) Waukee                 -3.20     -0.80                      
      Averages             106.21  58.5 50.0

Best game:  118.59 = 1 point win over Ames
Worst game:  90.01 = 2 point win over Des Moines North
Team stdev:   7.42